This weekend we have the largest competition we have ever seen for DraftKings MMA. We’ve got a $10 entry contest with $300,000 in total prizes, and $100,000 of that to 1st place. I never believed we would see a 6-figure 1st place trophy for MMA but that I was incorrect and I can not wait to pursue it. Conor McGregor vs Khabib Nurmagomedov will be the biggest fight in UFC history and DraftKings just made it even bigger for us DFS players. We are down to 12-fights therefore we could see a number of ties for this 1st place prize, so try to be different with your lineups somewhere, or leave salary on the table to be different in that way. With that said, here are a few plays I enjoy this weekend along with my fade of the week:
Cash Game play of this week — Vicente Luque ($9,400)
Luque is the”safest” drama on the card by a fantastic margin in his -900 betting line. I love plugging in those high odds guys in money so that I can lock a win in there and worry about finding 3 other wins out of my 5 additional spots. We generally only need 4 wins in money games to win against the cash line, so that’s what I take for in these 50/50 or double up games. Luque has been quite remarkable in his UFC run and he’s beat some pretty big names. On paper, this is one of the simplest matches nonetheless. In addition, he has big time upside down with his finishing possible. He’s got an ITD lineup of -270, therefore I believe we could have 100+ points in this triumph. He is a good play in all formats, but he is going to be chalky in championships, so that is why he is my cash play of this week instead.
GPP drama of the week — Alexander Volkov ($8,700)
Heavyweights are always good to aim in GPPs because it only takes 1 shot with a lot of those guys. I think this is a great matchup for Volkov and he is priced at $8.7k weekly. If he can get a 1st round KO at the price, he will probably be on the winning LU. Same is true for Lewis, therefore he’s a good GPP play too. However, my pick to win will be Volkov and that I like his price. I believe a few men priced above him this week will be a lot more possessed, so we could find a heavyweight favorite at lesser ownership . Fight Does Not Go To Conclusion is currently lined at -190, therefore this is a good GPP fight to target over all. If you like the Black Beast to get the W, then he’s a good fighter to throw in your GPP LUs.
Underdog drama of this week — Tony Martin ($7,400)
This is the best odds value on the card. Currently, Laflare is lined at -135 and Tony Martin is lined at +115. However, on DraftKings Laflare is priced $1,400 greater than Martin. I love looking online worth like that which alone puts Martin in drama in most formats. Martin also has got the better odds to end this fight ITD, so that’s another plus with him. I like the floor for Martin in money games also since Laflare isn’t likely to complete if he wins. So, at $7.4k, we can afford a loss from Martin and take the points he can rack up in 15-minutes.
Fade of the week — Sergio Pettis ($8,600)
Sergio Pettis could get the win here. However, he is going to have to get a end to pay off his $8.6k price tag. Sergio won’t be heading for almost any takedowns in this fight, and he doesn’t strike at a high enough speed for him to get 10x of that $8.6k. Sergio are the better fighter around the toes, but if he does not get a finish then he probably only scores 60-70 points in a win. Those low scores do not cut it at $8.6k. There are just better plays points per dollar and people are the guys I will be targeting. Sergio is a strong fade if you’re earning 20 or less lineups this weekend.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown where I breakdown every struggle on the card and give my complete DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 on this link below:

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